How to consume manufactured fear?

 How to consume manufactured fear?

Being “willfully blind”.

When too much of something is a problem?

 When too much of something is a problem?

When all the wrong people have got it.

What are the most effective teaching tools?

 What are the most effective teaching tools?

Mistakes.

How to mislead?

 How to mislead?

Using biased science and intellectual conflict of interest.

What causes a crisis?

 What causes a crisis?

What nobody sees coming 

How to understand the world?

 How to understand the world?

With data.

How to update your priors beliefs?

 How to update your priors beliefs?

With data

What makes to see the unknown unknowns differently from person to person?

 What makes to see the unknown unknowns differently from person to person?

The baseline risk.

How to improve decision quality?

 How to improve decision quality?

 Reducing the asymmetry of power. 

How to make more informed decisions?

 How to make more informed decisions?

Looking at the tradeoffs, and how you feel about them.

What really harm people?

 What really harm people?

 Bad policy and bad evidence.

How should we manage everything?

 How should we manage everything?

With absolute intellectual foundations.

How to discover what does not exist?

 How to discover what does not exist?

Getting used to the impossible. 

How to produce utopias?

 How to produce utopias?

Giving off euphoria .

When a company exercises substantial market power?

 When a company exercises substantial market power?

When there is no comparable alternatives.

What is the first recipe for failure?

 What is the first recipe for failure?

Failing to anticipate the resistance.

What is always the best strategy?

 What is always the best strategy? 

The strategy that is most aligned with your values.

What to do when you are still not quite sure?

 What to do when you are still not quite sure?

Finding avenues of investigation to fill large knowledge gaps.

Why there is substantial variation in the choice of strategies?

 Why there is substantial variation in the choice of strategies?

Because there is not a strong evidence base.

When is time to be a contrarian?

 When is time to be a contrarian?

When the consensus has been reached very quickly. 

What is the most illusory thing?

 What is the most illusory thing?

The belief that you have something under control. 

When things get harder?

 When things get harder?

When you see more.

How to evaluate evidence?

 How to evaluate evidence?

Staying out of your lane.

When do the problems start?

 When do the problems start? 

When imagination fades 

How to have the courage to subject an established practice to a proper scientific experiment?

 How to have the courage to subject an established practice to a proper scientific experiment?

Counting up outcomes.

How to experiment with society to get unpredictable results?

 How to experiment with society to get unpredictable results?

First, start dreaming up ways to “do the right thing”.

Second, tinker with bits of the private sector’s machinery that clearly you don’t understand how it operates.

Why is not possible to create spending without economic growth?

 Why is not possible to create spending without economic growth?

Because you can not consume what you don’t produce.

How to create inflation for the rich and deflation for the poor?

 How to create inflation for the rich and deflation for the poor?  

With pandemics and printing money.

When you have to be ready?

 When you have to be ready?

When you see mistakes.